Tuesday, September 6, 2022

You Do Know Debt Forgiveness Fuels a Healthy Economy. Essay by Steve Rhode

Opinions and emotions are running high right now regarding student loan forgiveness.

It is one of those topics that has become politicized rather than remain rational and logical.

A recent post from Zachary Carter, the author of The Price of Peace: Money, Democracy, and the Life of John Maynard Keynes raised some very interesting points worth remembering.

Debt forgiveness is important to a fully functioning, healthy economy. Debt elimination is part of the Bible, the U.S. Constitution, and routine government functions in various sectors. The USDA even runs a debt settlement program for farmers.

Indeed, debt relief has always been the handmaiden of debt itself. In the United States, we have a formal legal process for eliminating nearly all forms of debt: bankruptcy. When debts become unbearable, people file for bankruptcy to have them discharged in court. In the 15 years preceding the pandemic, more than 14.3 million people filed for bankruptcy. In the decade before the pandemic, more than 20,000 businesses filed for bankruptcy yearly, with a high watermark of 60,837 in 2009. Debts are discharged daily in the United States and have been for decades.

As Carter says, “Capitalism would collapse without debt relief systems. Businesses get in trouble all the time—both good businesses that would work fine without a few onerous debt deals, and bad businesses that need to be liquidated or restructured. Sometimes bad things just happen. People get divorced. They get injured and are overwhelmed by medical bills. They get laid off. They have to pay for a parent’s funeral or care for children with special needs. And yeah, some people just don’t know how to manage their money and buy things they can’t afford. But we do not consign such people to never-ending financial servitude as a result of unforeseen circumstances, or even totally reckless spending habits. We have a formal process to eliminate debts and start over, with a reasonable chance of living a healthy financial life.”

The issues building today regarding student loan debt don’t hinge on the finer points of forgiveness. No, the problem today was manufactured by special interests and politicians that meddled in changing the bankruptcy code.

“In 2005, Congress passed a law that made it next to impossible to discharge almost any form of student debt. Even the most creative consumer lawyers estimate that only about $50 billion—less than 3 percent of the $1.75 trillion in outstanding student debt—had the potential to be wiped away, but only if students could persuade a court that they had been egregiously wronged, by say, non-accredited programs or institutions that didn’t actually offer degrees,” says Carter.

He’s right. Bankruptcy is an orderly process that allows for the individual examination of debtors to determine if they are eligible for a legal Fresh Start.

The elimination of impossible debts helps people start over and consume again. That is how capitalism works. Without the discharge of impossible debts, the economy would bog do, and all would suffer.

Consumers must consume. Their job is in the name.

Carter says, “There’s no real reason why student debts should be so much more onerous than others. Let’s be clear about the supposedly reckless gambit that student debtors embarked on. They didn’t go to a casino, or buy a Maserati or make bad bets on meme stocks. They tried to get an education—exactly what parents, teachers and financial advice columnists have been telling kids to do for decades if they want to live better and more profitable lives.”

That’s an interesting point to ponder.

You do have to give Carter some props for his observation that the Biden student loan forgiveness program is not perfect, but it might be the best we can do now. Excellent point.

“There are perfectly reasonable critiques that can be lodged against Biden’s program. The plan isn’t comprehensive—only $20,000 can be discharged, and this is only for borrowers whose incomes were low enough to qualify for Pell Grants. The program looks the way it does because it is the only solution to this problem that our current politics will bear.

It would be far better to reform the higher education financing system than to simply wipe out a big chunk of higher ed debt. In a better America, students wouldn’t have to pay any more for a college education than they do for a high school education.

But we don’t live in that America right now. In time we may be able to reform the broader higher ed system, but for now, providing reasonable debt relief is the best our government can do.

Biden’s student debt relief initiative is no wild, unprecedented idea. Governments pay for education and eliminate unsustainable debts. That is how the world has worked for centuries.”

If I had a magic wand to wave, it would be to not go forward with the Biden student loan forgiveness program and just return all student loan debt to elimination through bankruptcy.

*****

This essay was originally posted on September 2 on Get Out of Debt Guy.

Steve Rhode is the Get Out of Debt Guy and has been helping good people with bad debt problems since 1994. You can learn more about Steve, here.


7 comments:

  1. Ancient debt relief? https://academicminute.org/2022/09/eva-von-dassow-university-of-minnesota-an-amargi-for-america/

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    1. And in the New Testament as well -- see especially St. Augustine's interpretation: "This is not said of debts of money only, but of all things in which any sins against us, and among these also of money, because that he sins against you, who does not return money due to you, when he has whence he can return it. Unless you forgive this sin you cannot say, Forgive us our debts, as we forgive our debtors."
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthew_6:12

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    2. Great biblical reference--almost like Jesus was talking about student loans!

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  2. Prof Galloway NYU is less sanguine: "The bad news: We’ve treated the symptom but not the disease. When dealing with a malignant tumor, standard procedure is first to shrink it. But cancer is the underlying disease, and the day after the debt is forgiven, this tumor will resume its growth."
    https://www.profgalloway.com/malignant/

    Perhaps better in the long run to wait for GOP to pull the plug on Title IV, followed by college meltdown, then a long and slow rebuild. Credential markets are SO misaligned with jobs, and waste so much ("aging vats" Ivar Berg called them) that Galloway is right: a cancer that eats America's future. "These are problems of our own making: a rejectionist culture, university presidents making $5 million a year, and an obsession with a four-year degree format."
    The problem is, going cold turkey (and addressing structural racism) is unknown territory -- and ultimately undesirable if it means maintaining inequities in the workplace: workers need to share in productivity; deskilling must end, first.
    I don't see how ANY of this is achievable.

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  3. We can start with some simple, common-sense reforms. First, as Steve Rhode explained in his essay, we need to restore bankruptcy protection for distressed student-loan debtors. Second, the feds need to shut down the Parent-Plus program that has caused so much suffering among low-income families. Third, we need to shut down the for-profit college industry. Unfortunately, I don't think any of these things will happen.

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  4. Agreed. Especially in the context of bankruptcy and loan forgiveness, Scotts Reynolds Nelson's quirky but timely "A Nation of Deadbeats" should be required reading -- subtitled "An Uncommon History of America's Financial Disasters" (2012) -- it is Professor Nelson's economic/historical narrative starting with the panic of 1792 and the political problem of US Congress passing a bankruptcy law that both Federalists and Democrats could agree on -- AND, more importantly, a bankruptcy law that WORKED!
    From there, Nelson describes the panics of 1819, 1824-25, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893, and 1907, and their aftermaths. Proffering all this history now -- in response to 2007-2009 (and 2020-2021, no doubt) -- one thing becomes clear: history offers numerous pathways around economic collapse -- when it occurs -- making Zachary Carter's observation especially relevant: "Capitalism would collapse without debt relief systems."
    This suggests to me that a FUTURE catastrophic downturn on par with the Great Depression (God forbid!) would easily wipe student loan slate clean -- but for the generation following to reap its benefits: The collapse of the job market (possibly 25% unemployment during the Great Depression) makes it impossible to pay back student loans, so that student loan debt relief is necessary.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States
    Theorists like Ted Lewis (building on Nassim Taleb, Per Bak's SOC, complexity theory in general) point out how extended periods of stability and equilibrium appear to squeeze out perturbations, but in fact set up critical points which are themselves triggered, resulting in catastrophe and new equilibria (i.e., Fat Tail events). Power grid collapse, supply chain grid-lock and financial upsets were all mentioned as massive vulnerabilities years ago.
    From this perspective, it is only a matter of when -- out of necessity -- student loan debt is erased. Dystopian urban apocalypses easily eclipse student loan debt, right Richard?

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    1. Thanks for your profound comments. I agree. Student loans will eventually be erased, but when that happens, America's higher education system will collapse. And I'm fine with that.

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